Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 87650.119354 92475.771335 97298.439216 102476.398593 107875.040053 113334.386901 119268.961702
2025-02-09 79630.855220 87017.170125 94604.188264 102969.352123 111923.022984 121208.551491 131555.472576
2025-02-16 73506.110198 82596.698291 92138.760946 102879.930515 114612.223373 127015.982542 141098.864260
2025-02-23 69168.017329 79560.582887 90668.100147 103387.563206 117513.321290 132682.968331 150168.017382
2025-03-02 65362.958473 76754.604739 89125.133643 103504.646780 119705.669878 137339.903086 157929.812413
2025-03-09 62913.037309 75244.335482 88824.663396 104819.182940 123067.397734 143163.008473 166889.140672
2025-03-16 59739.399655 72709.433142 87185.246031 104447.437700 124375.566079 146561.681843 173028.084991
2025-03-23 58061.293514 71780.974672 87276.823098 105959.836177 127753.572389 152249.735005 181736.659166
2025-03-30 56229.227076 70563.182733 86937.531583 106886.767985 130386.879658 157039.205966 189393.393044
2025-04-06 54152.375187 68952.264356 86045.867667 107082.073965 132097.103729 160712.126888 195729.134136
2025-04-13 52116.769691 67299.664163 85022.548338 107044.807115 133468.970364 163943.676061 201521.410808
2025-04-20 51134.854064 66872.960732 85419.742380 108665.645532 136782.332286 169444.689762 209991.956292
2025-04-27 50182.290831 66464.025267 85834.748989 110322.676220 140177.465172 175107.620254 218758.128244
2025-05-04 48832.473911 65511.930225 85547.427573 111095.524881 142491.452721 179487.858244 226026.186873
2025-05-11 47163.400705 64097.385976 84636.205125 111053.769362 143776.746190 182611.535926 231782.565312
2025-05-18 45885.333457 63129.277205 84235.742820 111605.212132 145760.098034 186563.582310 238542.269218
2025-05-25 44482.704927 61951.261839 83527.421091 111732.213518 147188.360709 189823.079671 244459.074358
2025-06-01 43748.158412 61606.884091 83846.752946 113131.081082 150187.506601 195007.146837 252749.626589
2025-06-08 42245.105461 60209.703281 82781.114922 112735.768355 150909.688143 197370.452998 257568.768184
2025-06-15 41703.701160 60058.124235 83296.529448 114344.428814 154151.896452 202859.835274 266276.001116
2025-06-22 40923.077123 59560.178588 83340.769409 115330.216122 156596.458350 207361.213880 273777.539564
2025-06-29 39851.965061 58638.671544 82803.340175 115537.910317 158030.894096 210592.501210 279701.615492
2025-07-06 38728.235866 57612.154242 82097.393001 115498.280431 159126.763068 213386.881126 285079.434830